Al limite / On the Edge: the Art of Risking Everything (Spanish Edition)

Un viaje privilegiado que revela como los maestros del riesgo moldean el mundo moderno Nate Silver es conocido por revolucionar el analisis predictivo aplicado a los deportes, la economia y la politica, pero antes de eso se ganaba la vida jugando al poker. En su nuevo libro, Silver parte de su experiencia como jugador para investigar a una comunidad de personas con ideas afines cuyo dominio del riesgo le permite dar forma y dominar gran parte de la vida moderna. El la llama El Rio. La mayoria de nosotros no tenemos los rasgos que comparten estos profesionales del riesgo: alta tolerancia a situaciones limite, gusto por la incertidumbre, afinidad por los numeros, una desconfianza instintiva de la sabiduria convencional y un impulso competitivo tan intenso que puede rayar en lo irracional. Para ellos, la complejidad es inherente a la existencia y el trabajo consiste en saber navegarla. Lejos de tratarse de unos outsiders, este tipo de personas acumulan cada vez mas riqueza y poder en nuestras sociedades. De ahi que comprender su mentalidad (y los fallos de su pensamiento) sea indispensable si queremos entender que impulsa la tecnologia y la economia global. Al llevarnos tras bambalinas, desde casinos hasta firmas de capital riesgo, desde el interior de la plataforma de criptomonedas FTX hasta reuniones del movimiento de altruismo eficaz, este libro supone un viaje con acceso privilegiado a un mundo oculto pero esencial para vislumbrar la naturaleza de la incertidumbre en el siglo XXI. ENGLISH DESCRIPTION The Instant New York Times Bestseller “Engaging and entertaining… a glimpse of the economy of the future.” –Tim Wu, New York Times Book Review From the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk–and the players raising the stakes. In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates “the River,” the community of like-minded people whose mastery of risk allows them to shape–and dominate–so much of modern life. These professional risk-takers–poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true believers and blue-chip art collectors–can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the twenty-first century. By immersing himself in the worlds of Doyle Brunson, Peter Thiel, Sam Bankman-Fried, Sam Altman, and many others, Silver offers insight into a range of issues that affect us all, from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI. Most of us don’t have traits commonly found in the River: high tolerance for risk, appreciation of uncertainty, affinity for numbers–paired with an instinctive distrust of conventional wisdom and a competitive drive so intense it can border on irrational. For those in the River, complexity is baked in, and the work is how to navigate it. People in the River have increasing amounts of wealth and power in our society, and understanding their mindset–and the flaws in their thinking– is key to understanding what drives technology and the global economy today. Taking us behind the scenes from casinos to venture capital firms, and from the FTX inner sanctum to meetings of the effective altruism movement, On the Edge is a deeply reported, all-access journey into a hidden world of power brokers and risk-takers.